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Probability

For Teachers 4th - 6th
Students investigate probability.  In this fourth through sixth grade mathematics lesson, students collect, organize and display data in an appropriate chart or graph as they calculate and apply basic probability. 
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Curated OER

Probability and the Law of Large Numbers

For Teachers 4th - 7th
Students explore the law of large numbers. In this problem solving lesson, students view an episode of "Cyberchase" and apply the law to determine probability in 2 different scenarios.
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Playing With Probability

For Teachers 3rd - 5th
Students rotate through work stations where they compute problems of theoretical and experimental probability. In this probability lesson plan, students use simulations of a lottery system.
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Unit Plan
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Drive the Data Derby

For Teachers 3rd - 5th Standards
Three days of race car design and driving through the classroom while guessing probability could be a third graders dream. Learn to record car speed, distances traveled, and statistics by using calculation ranges using the mean, median,...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Data Analysis and Probability Race to the Finish

For Teachers 1st - 2nd
Students practice addition facts, record data, and construct a bar graph. In this probability lesson, students participate in a board game in which bicycles move towards a finish line based on players completing addition problems. Dice...
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Probability Popsicle Pop-ups

For Teachers 4th
Fourth graders decorate and use popsicle sticks as manipulatives to assist with their learning of probability. They utilize a worksheet imbedded in this plan to organize the results of their experiment. They make a stem and leaf plot...
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Probability Fun

For Teachers 1st
First graders use probability terminology to describe all possible outcomes of certain events. In this probability lesson, 1st graders use counters to create a pretend "purse" of objects. Students create their own probability drawings...
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Practice with Probability

For Teachers 4th
Fourth graders participate in a variety of activities to reinforce the concept of probability. After reading a book, they identify the chances of an event occuring to one of the characters on a probability line. To end the lesson, they...
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Traffic Light Probability

For Teachers 4th - 8th
Students discuss the possible traffic signals that may be observed on the way to a field trip. They record data on the trip, and analyze the probability of the results occurring again.
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Lesson Plan
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Probability: Playing With Fire

For Teachers 4th - 6th
Students problem solve to find the probability of each tree in a small forest to catch fire. In this probability lesson plan, students use the computer to complete this application.
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Replacement and Probability

For Teachers 3rd - 9th
Students explore sampling with and without replacement. They explore the effects on the probability of drawing a desired object. Students examine probability and the difference between sampling with and without replacement.
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Lesson Plan
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Expected Outcome (Probability)

For Teachers 3rd - 5th
Students practice and determine expected values of experiments as well as distributions of experiments. They find the area of rectangles and circles and determine elementary probabilities. Probability exercises begin with quarters and...
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Teachers.Net Tootsie Pop Pull - Probability

For Teachers 3rd - 5th
Students pull tootsie pops from a large grocery bag and tell the teacher three three things: 1. their favorite flavor, 2. probability of them getting their favorite flavor and 3. keep a tally of flavors drawn from the bag at the bottom...
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Lesson Plan
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Probably or Probably Not?

For Teachers 2nd - 6th
Students utilize the interactive spinner and write down the probability of each color in reduced fraction form in the "Experimental Results" column, labeling each color and its corresponding probability in the same order as in the...
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Investigating the Probability

For Teachers 4th - 6th
Students investigate probability using coins and dice. They collect data, graph, organize and interpret data. They predict, describe, compare, compute and draw conclusions based on what they observe and record.
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Probability Kisses

For Teachers 2nd - 4th
Students explore the concept of probability by picking from a bag of multicolored Hershey kisses. They determine if they are less, more, or equally likely to pick a certain color based on the numbers of each colored Hershey kiss.
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The Old Lady and Probability

For Teachers 1st
First graders practice probability by playing various games associated with song There Was an Old Lady.
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Lesson Plan
Pennsylvania Department of Education

What is the Chance?

For Teachers 4th - 5th Standards
Fourth and fifth graders make predictions using data. In this analyzing data lesson plan, pupils use experimental data, frequency tables, and line plots to look for patterns in the data in order to determine chance. You will need to make...
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Which Number Will Finish First?

For Teachers K - 1st
Students conduct probability experiments.  in this number lesson, students use spinners and conduct probability experiments.  They collect and organize data on talley sheets.
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One Out of Six

For Teachers 3rd - 5th
Students investigate basic concepts of chance and probability. They make a number cube to predict which number might be rolled the most often out of 20 consecutive rolls and tally the results. Number cube template included.
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Snack Sack

For Teachers 1st
First graders, after exploring agricultural products that can be considered snack foods, experience the concepts of ratio and probability. They analyze and record their class experience after dealing with the following snacks: peanut...
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Probability and Fairness

For Teachers 4th - 7th
Pupils discover how to use the probability of winning to determine if a game is fair or not.  In this probability lesson, students watch a video and analyze the probability of winning and losing different versions of the game shown. ...
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Marble Mania

For Teachers 3rd - 6th
Students explore the concept of probability. In this probability lesson, students develop an understanding of probability by pulling marbles out of a bag and recording the data. Students use the recording sheet to discuss the results of...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

"Eggs-ploring" Math with Jellybeans

For Teachers 1st - 4th
Learners work in pairs with a small bag of jellybeans to estimate the number of candies in their bags and then figure out how many groups of 10 jellybeans are contained in their bags. They then graph the information using a pictograph or...

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