When 95% Accurate Isn’t

This When 95% Accurate Isn’t lesson plan also includes:

Investigate the effect of false positives on probability calculation with an activity that asks scholars to collect simulated data generated by a calculator. To finish, participants analyze the probability of certain outcomes which lead to the discovery of Bayes Theorem.

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CCSS: Designed
Instructional Ideas

  • Define key vocabulary and notation before beginning the activity
  • Utilize the extension for early finishers
Classroom Considerations

  • Learners should have a basic understanding of conditional probabilities prior to the lesson
Pros

  • Activity uses questioning to lead pupils to discover desired concepts
  • Includes detailed answer keys
Cons

  • None
Common Core