EngageNY
Applying Probability to Make Informed Decisions
Use simulations to determine the probabilities of events to make decisions. Class members are presented with several scenarios, some with known probabilities and others without. Groups run simulations to gather data that they then use to...
EngageNY
Estimating Probability Distributions Empirically 1
What if you don't have theoretical probabilities with which to create probability distributions? The 11th installment of a 21-part module has scholars collecting data through a survey. The results of the survey provide empirical data to...
American Statistical Association
Exploring Geometric Probabilities with Buffon’s Coin Problem
Scholars create and perform experiments attempting to answer Buffon's Coin problem. They discover the relationships between geometry and probability, empirical and theoretical probabilities, and area of a circle and square.
EngageNY
Conducting a Simulation to Estimate the Probability of an Event II
Add some randomization into simulations. The 11th installment in a series of 25 presents two new methods to use in simulations--colored disks, and random numbers. Pupils use random numbers to run simulations where the probabilities make...
Curated OER
Phenomenological Probability
Students explore the concept of theoretical and experimental probability. In this theoretical and experimental probability lesson, students roll dice, draw marbles out of a bag, and draw a card from a deck of cards. Students perform each...
Curated OER
Probability - What Are the Odds?
Students study the concept of probability. In this probability lesson, students define probability and visit an interactive spinner website to learn about theoretical and experimental probability. Students use pennies and work in pairs...
Curated OER
Probability Using M&M's
Students estimate and then count the number of each color of M&M's in their bag. In this mathematics lesson, students find the experimental probability of selecting each color from the bag. Students create pictographs and bar graphs...
Curated OER
Investigation--What Are My Chances?
Seventh graders investigate theoretical and experimental probability by conducting a series of experiments with multiple trials, comparing results, combining results and making conclusions. They express probabilities as fractions,...
EngageNY
Estimating Probability Distributions Empirically 2
Develop probability distributions from simulations. Young mathematicians use simulations to collect data. They use the data to draw graphs of probability distributions for the random variable in question.
EngageNY
Chance Experiments, Sample Spaces, and Events
Want a leg up on the competition? Show classes how to use mathematics to their advantage when playing games. Learners calculate probabilities to determine a reasonable scoring strategy for a game.
Illustrative Mathematics
Return to Fred's Fun Factory (with 50 Cents)
The penny arcade gets the statistics treatment in this fun probability investigation. A non-standard game of chance is described and then the class is set loose to find missing probabilities, determine common outcomes, and evaluate...
Curated OER
Probability Experiment Simulation: Design and Data Analysis Using a Graphing Calculator
Seventh graders simulate probability experiments. Using a graphing calculator, 7th graders design, conduct, and draw conclusions from simulations or probability experiments. Students construct frequency tables and compare the...
Mathalicious
Three Shots
To foul or not to foul, that is the basketball question. High schoolers look at the probability that fouling out a player and allowing free throws yields a better outcome than allowing the original shot. The resource provides a teacher's...
Curated OER
Conditional Probability and Probability of Simultaneous Events
Students explore the concept of conditional probability and probability of simultaneous events. In this conditional probability and probability of simultaneous events lesson, students roll dice or use and applet to roll dice to determine...
Curated OER
Heads or Tails
Seventh graders compare experimental and theoretical probabilities. In this comparing experimental and theoretical probabilities activity, 7th graders discuss the theoretical probability of flipping a coin. Students flip a coin 25...
Curated OER
What is Probability? Original Lesson Plan
Students predict, using a fraction or a ratio, the possibility of an event happening and place that fraction or ratio on a Likelihood Line. In Part Two of the lesson plan, they conduct an experiment to determine theoretical and...
Curated OER
"Lucky Charms": Interpreting Data and Making Predictions
Seventh graders determine if a "lucky charm" will increase their chances of winning a game. Students calculate the experimental probability of each player in a game. They observe and collect data from each activity. Students compare the...
Curated OER
Probability and Sports
Learners research topics on the internet where probability is relevant. Students study statistics and probability concepts by looking at practical questions that arise in professional sports.
Virginia Department of Education
What Are the Chances?
Take a chance on an informative resource. Scholars conduct probability experiments involving coins and number cubes to generate data. Compiling class data helps connect experimental probability to theoretical probability.
EngageNY
Chance Experiments with Outcomes That Are Not Equally Likely
The fifth portion of the 25-part series introduces probabilities calculated from outcomes that are not equally likely. Class members use tables to calculate probabilities of events, add outcome's probabilities, and find complements....
Curated OER
Calculating Theoretical & Experimental Probability
Students explore the concept of experimental and theoretical probability. In this experimental and theoretical probability lesson, students collect data by conducting a survey of their classmates. Students compare their data and discuss...
Curated OER
Which Number Will Finish First?
Students conduct probability experiments. in this number lesson, students use spinners and conduct probability experiments. They collect and organize data on talley sheets.
Curated OER
Probability Activity
Pupils differentiate between theoretical and experimental probability. In this probability lesson plan, students create a puzzle and calculate the probability of an event occurring. They use problems dealing real life scenarios.
EngageNY
Comparing Estimated Probabilities to Probabilities Predicted by a Model
Small groups devise a plan to find the bag that contains the larger percentage of blue chips. they then institute their plans and compare results to the actual quantities in the bags.