Lesson Plan

The Difference Between Theoretical Probabilities and Estimated Probabilities

Curated and Reviewed by Lesson Planet

Flip a coin to determine whether the probability of heads is one-half. Pupils use simulated data to find the experimental probability of flipping a coin. Participants compare the long run relative frequency with the known theoretical probability. Groups flip a stack of pennies to find their long-run frequency. 

14 Views 7 Downloads
CCSS: Designed
Additional Tags
Instructional Ideas
  • Allow groups to collect their own data of flipping coins
  • Lead a discussion on how to calculate relative frequencies
Classroom Considerations
  • Requires groups of pennies divided into stacks
  • Eighth segment in a unit of 25
Pros
  • Has tables to organize data collected
  • Includes anticipated responses to discussion questions to better facilitate conversation
Cons
  • None
Common Core