CK-12 Foundation
Conditional Probability: Game Show with Monty
The car is behind door one — no wait, it is behind door three. An interactive allows learners to visualize the Monty Hall problem. Pupils work through the probabilities of choosing the car with their first pick. Next, they determine...
Inside Mathematics
Marble Game
Pupils determine the theoretical probability of winning a game of marbles. Individuals compare the theoretical probability to experimental probability for the same game. They continue on to compare two different probability games.
Mathematics Vision Project
Probability
Probability, especially conditional probability, can be a slippery concept for young statisticians. Statements that seem self-evident on the surface often require a daunting amount of calculations to explicate, or turn out to be not so...
West Contra Costa Unified School District
Introduction to Conditional Probability
Here is a turnkey lesson that walks young statisticians through the development and uses of conditional probability. From dice games to surveys, Venn diagrams to frequency tables, the class learns how a given can effect the overall...
National Security Agency
Are You Game? A Lesson Connecting Fractions and Probability
Exactly how fair are the board games children grow up playing? Young mathematicians investigate this questions as they work their way through this five-lesson series on basic probability.
Curated OER
Conditional Probability and Probability of Simultaneous Events
Your statisticians examine the characteristics of conditional probability and the probability of simultaneous independent events. They perform computer activities to find probabilities for simple compound events. They examine the...
Curated OER
Unexpected Answers
High schoolers explore the concept of fairness. In this fairness lesson, students play four probability games. High schoolers determine who has the best chance of winning each of the four games. Students discuss which games gave an...
Shodor Education Foundation
From Probability to Combinatorics and Number Theory
What middle schooler does not enjoy an occasional online game? In this instructional activity play, you will find embedded links to an online probability game, and informative pages about how division is used in probability, the concept...
Statistics Education Web
The Egg Roulette Game
Hard boiled or raw? Which egg will you get? A hands-on activity has scholars explore the impact of conditional probability. Based on a skit from the Tonight Show, pupils model the selection of the two types of eggs using beads. They...
EngageNY
Analyzing Decisions and Strategies Using Probability 1
Learn how to increase the probability of success. The 19th installment of a 21-part module teaches future mathematicians how to use probability to analyze decisions. They determine strategies to maximize the chances of a desired outcome.
Mathematics Assessment Project
Memory Game
Middle schoolers must determine probabilities for a memory game in which winning requires matching two of the same cards. They then must determine what happens when more cards are added to the pile.
Curated OER
Probabilities for Number Cubes
Middle schoolers explore the concept of probability. In this probability lesson, students roll a six-sided number cube and record the frequency of each outcome. Middle schoolers graph their data using a frequency chart and keep tally...
CCSS Math Activities
Rolling for the Big One
Knowing math helps you win games. Learners apply conditional probability concepts in an engaging performance task. After playing a game in which players roll a 10-sided polyhedron and then try to place the digits to get the highest...
Curated OER
Modeling Conditional Probabilities 1: Lucky Dip
Check out this detailed lesson plan on conditional probability! Learners work individually and also collaboratively to analyze the fairness of a game and justify their reasoning. it includes detailed notes and many helpful suggestions...
Curated OER
Ideas that Lead to Probability
Students explore the concept of probability. In this probability lesson, students use random number generators to determine probabilities of events. Students discuss if certain probable events are fair. Students determine fair ways to...
Mathalicious
Three Shots
To foul or not to foul, that is the basketball question. High schoolers look at the probability that fouling out a player and allowing free throws yields a better outcome than allowing the original shot. The resource provides a teacher's...
Curated OER
Probability
In this probability worksheet, students solve and complete 16 various types of problems related to statistics. First, they determine the probability of the statistics that are true as shown. Then, students find the conditional...
Inside Mathematics
Winning Spinners
Winning a spin game is random chance, right? Pupils create a table to determine the sample space of spinning two spinners. Individuals determine the probability of winning a game and then modify the spinners to increase the probability...
Balanced Assessment
Lotto
You can't win if you don't play! Find out how to increase your chances of winning the lottery. Scholars analyze a state lottery system for the probability of winning. They also consider different combinations of numbers and how they...
Curated OER
The Winning Edge: Probability in Basketball: Lesson 2
Students calculate the probability of a desired outcome based upon a statistically significant number of discrete events (i.e. endgame free-throw attempts). They participate in an online simulation of basketball free throws.
Curated OER
Replacement and Probability
Students explore sampling with and without replacement. They explore the effects on the probability of drawing a desired object. Students examine probability and the difference between sampling with and without replacement.
CK-12 Foundation
Mutually Exclusive Events: Lemon Roulette!
You first! An interactive sets up a game between two friends who hope they don't find a lemon hidden under a tray. Pupils determine whether there is an advantage of going first. Individuals find the probabilities of each friend finding...
Shodor Education Foundation
Introduction to the Concept of Probability
Acquaint mathematicians to the concept of probability with a discussion about the results of a game. Then have them play a dice, card, spinner, or coin game and recording the number of wins vs. the number of tries on an interactive web...
Curated OER
Lucky 7s
This helpful instructional activity explores the probability in tossing a coin and throwing dice. Specifically, it looks at the probability of getting numbers that are significant to the game of craps, assuming that once the math is...