West Contra Costa Unified School District
Introduction to Conditional Probability
Here is a turnkey lesson that walks young statisticians through the development and uses of conditional probability. From dice games to surveys, Venn diagrams to frequency tables, the class learns how a given can effect the overall...
Curated OER
Conditional Probability and Probability of Simultaneous Events
Your statisticians examine the characteristics of conditional probability and the probability of simultaneous independent events. They perform computer activities to find probabilities for simple compound events. They examine the...
Curated OER
Conditional Probability and Probability of Simultaneous Events
Students explore the concept of conditional probability and probability of simultaneous events. For this conditional probability and probability of simultaneous events lesson, students roll dice or use and applet to roll dice to...
Math12
Conditional Probability
Conditional probability can be a confusing concept. A straightforward instructional activity provides reasonable examples of conditional probability, and models the most effective ways to reinforce the more complex parts of the...
University of Nottingham
Modeling Conditional Probabilities: 2
Bring the concept of conditional probability alive by allowing your classes to explore different probability scenarios. Many tasks have multiple solutions that encourage students to continue exploring their problems even after a solution...
Curated OER
Modeling Conditional Probabilities 1: Lucky Dip
Check out this detailed lesson plan on conditional probability! Learners work individually and also collaboratively to analyze the fairness of a game and justify their reasoning. it includes detailed notes and many helpful suggestions...
Curated OER
Unexpected Answers
Students explore the concept of fairness. In this fairness lesson, students play four probability games. Students determine who has the best chance of winning each of the four games. Students discuss which games gave an unfair advantage.
American Statistical Association
A Sweet Task
Candy is always an effective motivator! A fun math activity uses M&M's and Skittles to explore two-way frequency tables and conditional probability. The candy can serve a dual purpose as manipulatives and experimental data.
Mathematics Assessment Project
Representing Probabilities: Medical Testing
Test probability concepts with an activity that asks pupils to first complete a task investigating false positive in medical testing and then to evaluate sample responses to the same task.
Virginia Department of Education
Organizing Topic: Probability
The probability is high learning will occur! A well-designed unit introduces learners to the concepts of independent, dependent, and mutually exclusive events. Using Venn diagrams, the lessons ask learners to analyze many different...
Mathalicious
Three Shots
To foul or not to foul, that is the basketball question. High schoolers look at the probability that fouling out a player and allowing free throws yields a better outcome than allowing the original shot. The resource provides a teacher's...
Statistics Education Web
The Egg Roulette Game
Hard boiled or raw? Which egg will you get? A hands-on activity has scholars explore the impact of conditional probability. Based on a skit from the Tonight Show, pupils model the selection of the two types of eggs using beads. They...
Curated OER
Mathematics: A Picture's Worth a Thousand Words
Learners examine school yearbooks from 1950 to the present. They count the number of male and female teachers and administrators. They compile date and extrapolate changes in job trends.
Curated OER
Real-World Probability
Students explore the concept of probability. In this probability lesson plan, students create a video, poster, or podcast explaining what experiments, sample space, events, and outcomes are in relation to probability. Students create a...
Curated OER
Ideas that Lead to Probability
Learners explore the concept of probability. In this probability lesson, students use random number generators to determine probabilities of events. Learners discuss if certain probable events are fair. Students determine fair ways to...
Statistics Education Web
When 95% Accurate Isn’t
Investigate the effect of false positives on probability calculation with an activity that asks scholars to collect simulated data generated by a calculator. To finish, participants analyze the probability of certain outcomes which lead...
EngageNY
The General Multiplication Rule
In the first installment of a 21-part module, scholars build on previous understandings of probability to develop the multiplication rule for independent and dependent events. They use the rule to solve contextual problems.
Shodor Education Foundation
From Probability to Combinatorics and Number Theory
What middle schooler does not enjoy an occasional online game? In this instructional activity play, you will find embedded links to an online probability game, and informative pages about how division is used in probability, the concept...
Curated OER
Data Displays with Excel
Students collect and analyze data. In this statistics instructional activity, students display their data using excel. They plot the data on a coordinate plane and draw conclusion from their data.
Curated OER
Fire!, Probability, and Chaos
Students explore the concept of probability. In this probability lesson, students simulate a controlled forest burn using an applet. Students vary the probability of trees burning and predict what will happen.
Curated OER
Replacement and Probability
Students explore sampling with and without replacement. They explore the effects on the probability of drawing a desired object. Students examine probability and the difference between sampling with and without replacement.
Curated OER
So, the Test Is Positive
Students participate in a probability-based exercise. They consider the implications of testing positive for a cancer when the test is less than 100% accurate and analyze their results.
Curated OER
The Winning Edge: Probability in Basketball: Lesson 2
Students calculate the probability of a desired outcome based upon a statistically significant number of discrete events (i.e. endgame free-throw attempts). They participate in an online simulation of basketball free throws.
Shodor Education Foundation
Replacement and Probability
Middle and high schoolers explore the concept of probability. In this probability lesson, learners conduct an experiment with a bag of marbles. Pupils draw marbles from a bag and determine the probability of drawing a particular color...