Curated OER
The Random Walk
Deep mathematical thinking is found with just a coin and a number line. Combining computing some probabilities in a discrete situation, and the interpretation of a function, this simple task gives learners a lot to think about on their...
Illustrative Mathematics
How Many Buttons?
Bring the class into the probability by having everyone count buttons on their shirts. Organize the data into the chart provided and chose different possibilities such as "female with one button" or "all students with more than four...
Radford University
AFDA Probability and Law of Large Numbers
The more trials scholars perform, the closer they'll likely be to the true value. After designing a probability experiment, young mathematicians conduct the experiment for five different numbers of trials. They then analyze the results,...
Radford University
Connecting Theoretical and Experimental Probability
Play some games, develop a law, and then call it a day. Learners first perform a small number of trials for a probability experiment, then predict the result for a larger number of trials. They then compile data from the entire class to...
EngageNY
Chance Experiments
Class members are introduced to probability using terms such as impossible, unlikely, likely, and certain. Numbers between zero and one are associated with the descriptions of probability. Pupils find the likelihood of chance experiments...
Shodor Education Foundation
Spinner
Go round and round to compare theoretical and experimental probabilities. Learners set the number of sectors and the number of spins for a spinner. Then, a table displays the experimental and theoretical probabilities of the spinner for...
Illustrative Mathematics
Return to Fred's Fun Factory (with 50 Cents)
The penny arcade gets the statistics treatment in this fun probability investigation. A non-standard game of chance is described and then the class is set loose to find missing probabilities, determine common outcomes, and evaluate...
Curated OER
Modeling Conditional Probabilities 1: Lucky Dip
Check out this detailed lesson plan on conditional probability! Learners work individually and also collaboratively to analyze the fairness of a game and justify their reasoning. it includes detailed notes and many helpful suggestions...
Mathalicious
Three Shots
To foul or not to foul, that is the basketball question. High schoolers look at the probability that fouling out a player and allowing free throws yields a better outcome than allowing the original shot. The resource provides a teacher's...
Curated OER
Rolling Twice
Rolling dice is the best way to show your learners how probability comes in to play. Although this lesson does not specify an activity, your mathematicians can try this probability with real dice to calculate their experimental...
Illustrative Mathematics
Heads or Tails
Heads! A great way to practice probability is to flip a coin in class. The provided data allows your mathematicians to predict the probability of heads in ten coin flips. Bring coins to class and allow your own trial of heads or tails....
Curated OER
Tetrahedral Dice
Put those thinking hats on and look at all the possible outcomes from rolling two different four-sided dice. The challenge in this problem is finding all the combinations when adding and subtracting the numbers from each die and creating...
Curated OER
Election Poll, Variation 3
Build on probability and incorporate a random number generator to select outcomes for a school election. Your learners will record their results on a dot plot and answer questions regarding whether their candidate has a chance at the...
Shodor Education Foundation
Marbles
Grab some marbles from a bag. The applet simulates drawing marbles from a bag. Pupils determine the number of four colors of marbles in a bag and how many marbles to draw. Using information on whether order matters in the draw and if...
EngageNY
Chance Experiments with Outcomes That Are Not Equally Likely
The fifth portion of the 25-part series introduces probabilities calculated from outcomes that are not equally likely. Class members use tables to calculate probabilities of events, add outcome's probabilities, and find complements....
Intel
Fair Games
Who said things were fair? The unit introduces probability and its connection to fairness. The class interacts with activities of chance and plays games to relate them to fairness. Groups design a fair game and develop a presentation....
Virginia Department of Education
Normal Distributions
Pupils work to find probabilities by using areas under the normal curve. Groups work to calculate z-scores and solve real-world problems using the empirical rule or tables.
Shodor Education Foundation
Two Colors Applet
Find the box with two green balls. The applet uses six balls, three green and three red, and hides them in three boxes. Pupils choose a box and click on it to reveal the color of balls inside. Using the chosen box, the simulation keeps...
Curated OER
The Random Walk II
Deep mathematical thinking is found with just a coin and a number line. Combining computing some probabilities in a discrete situation, and the interpretation of a function, this simple task gives learners a lot to think about on their...
EngageNY
Comparing Estimated Probabilities to Probabilities Predicted by a Model
Small groups devise a plan to find the bag that contains the larger percentage of blue chips. they then institute their plans and compare results to the actual quantities in the bags.
EngageNY
Analyzing Decisions and Strategies Using Probability 2
Explore how to compare and analyze different strategies. In the 20th installment of a 21-part module, scholars continue their analysis of decisions and strategies from the previous instructional activity. They then extend this concept to...
Shodor Education Foundation
Simple Monty Hall
What's behind door number one? A fun resource lets learners simulate the classic Monty Hall probability problem. Pupils choose a door, and after they select a losing door, they decide whether to switch or stay. Using their decisions, the...
New York City Department of Education
How I Roll
There's a high likelihood for learner success in this set of probability problems and activities. From support activities that walk learners through joint and compound probabilities through the cumulative activity of planning to win a...
Shodor Education Foundation
Buffon's Needle
Find the needle on a lined paper. Pupils run a simulation of dropping a needle on a lined paper. The probability of the needle crossing at least one line is pi/2. After each trial, the interactive displays the approximation of pi based...
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