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Lesson Plan
West Contra Costa Unified School District

Introduction to Conditional Probability

For Teachers 7th - 9th Standards
Here is a turnkey instructional activity that walks young statisticians through the development and uses of conditional probability. From dice games to surveys, Venn diagrams to frequency tables, the class learns how a given can effect...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Conditional Probability and Probability of Simultaneous Events

For Teachers 7th - 9th
Your statisticians examine the characteristics of conditional probability and the probability of simultaneous independent events. They perform computer activities to find probabilities for simple compound events. They examine the...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Conditional Probability and Probability of Simultaneous Events

For Teachers 11th - Higher Ed
Students explore the concept of conditional probability and probability of simultaneous events. In this conditional probability and probability of simultaneous events lesson, students roll dice or use and applet to roll dice to determine...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Multiplication Rule: Complements and Conditional Probability

For Teachers 10th - 11th
In this probability worksheet, learners read story problems and set up complement and conditional probability problems according to the multiplication rule. Three story problems are included on this worksheet.
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Calculating Conditional Probabilities and Evaluating Independence Using Two-Way Tables (part 1)

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
Being a statistician means never having to say you're certain! Learners develop two-way frequency tables and calculate conditional and independent probabilities. They understand probability as a method of making a prediction. 
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Lesson Plan
Math12

Conditional Probability

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
Conditional probability can be a confusing concept. A straightforward lesson plan provides reasonable examples of conditional probability, and models the most effective ways to reinforce the more complex parts of the lesson plan.
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Calculating Conditional Probabilities and Evaluating Independence Using Two-Way Tables (part 2)

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
Without data, all you are is another person with an opinion. Show learners the power of statistics and probability in making conclusions and predictions. Using two-way frequency tables, learners determine independence by analyzing...
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Lesson Plan
University of Nottingham

Modeling Conditional Probabilities: 2

For Teachers 10th - 12th Standards
Bring the concept of conditional probability alive by allowing your classes to explore different probability scenarios. Many tasks have multiple solutions that encourage students to continue exploring their problems even after a solution...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Modeling Conditional Probabilities 1: Lucky Dip

For Teachers 9th - 12th Standards
Check out this detailed lesson plan on conditional probability!  Learners work individually and also collaboratively to analyze the fairness of a game and justify their reasoning. it includes detailed notes and many helpful suggestions...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Probability Rules (part 1)

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
In statistics, probability rules—literally! Learners use their previous knowledge and explore a set of rules for conditional probability, independent probability, and complements. Given different scenarios, they must determine what type...
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Calculating Probabilities of Events Using Two-Way Tables

For Students 10th - 12th Standards
Tables are useful for more than just eating. Learners use tables to organize data and calculate probabilities and conditional probabilities. 
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Unexpected Answers

For Teachers 9th - 12th
High schoolers explore the concept of fairness. In this fairness lesson, students play four probability games. High schoolers determine who has the best chance of winning each of the four games. Students discuss which games gave an...
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Lesson Plan
Math12

Basics of Probability

For Teachers 6th - 8th Standards
Give your students a fighting chance at understanding probability. Offering numerous examples that clearly demonstrate basic probability concepts, this resource helps young mathematicians learn how to visualize the different outcomes of...
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Lesson Plan
1
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American Statistical Association

A Sweet Task

For Teachers 10th - 12th Standards
Candy is always an effective motivator! A fun math activity uses M&M's and Skittles to explore two-way frequency tables and conditional probability. The candy can serve a dual purpose as manipulatives and experimental data.
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Lesson Plan
Mathematics Assessment Project

Representing Probabilities: Medical Testing

For Teachers 9th - 12th Standards
Test probability concepts with an activity that asks pupils to first complete a task investigating false positive in medical testing and then to evaluate sample responses to the same task.
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Lesson Plan
EngageNY

Analyzing Decisions and Strategies Using Probability 1

For Teachers 11th - 12th Standards
Learn how to increase the probability of success. The 19th installment of a 21-part module teaches future mathematicians how to use probability to analyze decisions. They determine strategies to maximize the chances of a desired outcome.
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Lesson Plan
Virginia Department of Education

Organizing Topic: Probability

For Teachers 10th - 12th Standards
The probability is high learning will occur! A well-designed unit introduces learners to the concepts of independent, dependent, and mutually exclusive events. Using Venn diagrams, the lessons ask learners to analyze many different...
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Lesson Plan
Mathalicious

Three Shots

For Teachers 9th - 12th Standards
To foul or not to foul, that is the basketball question. High schoolers look at the probability that fouling out a player and allowing free throws yields a better outcome than allowing the original shot. The resource provides a teacher's...
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Lesson Plan
Statistics Education Web

The Egg Roulette Game

For Teachers 9th - 12th Standards
Hard boiled or raw? Which egg will you get? A hands-on activity has scholars explore the impact of conditional probability. Based on a skit from the Tonight Show, pupils model the selection of the two types of eggs using beads. They...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Mathematics: A Picture's Worth a Thousand Words

For Teachers 9th - 12th
Students examine school yearbooks from 1950 to the present. They count the number of male and female teachers and administrators. They compile date and extrapolate changes in job trends.
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Probabilities for Number Cubes

For Teachers 6th - 8th
Students explore the concept of probability.  In this probability lesson, students roll a six-sided number cube and record the frequency of each outcome.  Students graph their data using a frequency chart and keep tally marks in a...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Real-World Probability

For Teachers 11th - 12th
Students explore the concept of probability.  In this probability instructional activity, students create a video, poster, or podcast explaining what experiments, sample space, events, and outcomes are in relation to probability. ...
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Lesson Plan
Curated OER

Ideas that Lead to Probability

For Teachers 7th - 12th
Students explore the concept of probability. In this probability lesson, students use random number generators to determine probabilities of events. Students discuss if certain probable events are fair. Students determine fair ways to...
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Lesson Plan
Statistics Education Web

When 95% Accurate Isn’t

For Students 9th - 12th Standards
Investigate the effect of false positives on probability calculation with an activity that asks scholars to collect simulated data generated by a calculator. To finish, participants analyze the probability of certain outcomes which lead...

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