Curated OER
Rolling Twice
Rolling dice is the best way to show your learners how probability comes in to play. Although this lesson does not specify an activity, your mathematicians can try this probability with real dice to calculate their experimental...
American Statistical Association
What is the Probability of “Pigging Out”
Learners apply their understanding of luck to a probability experiment. They play a game of Pass the Pigs to determine the probability of a specific outcome. Using analysis for their data, pupils declare the measures of center, dot...
Willow Tree
Simple Probability
The probability of learning from this lesson is high! Learners calculate probabilities as numbers and as decimals. They see how to use a complement to find a probability and even try a simple geometric probability problem.
Curated OER
Probability: What's Most Likely?
Work with graphs, tally marks, and probability. Fifth graders read tables with different sets of data, including tally marks and a bar graph, to answer five questions. Use this worksheet as part of a probability lesson, or as a homework...
Illustrative Mathematics
Tossing Cylinders
Everyone loves a lesson that involves throwing things around! To understand probability, your experimenters will predict how different cylinder-shaped objects will land when tossed. When the data is collected, they will calculate the...
National Council of Teachers of Mathematics
The Game of SKUNK
Do I stand or do I sit? The class plays a dice game where they must decide to either continue to stand and play or sit down and keep their points. After the game, groups discuss individuals' strategies and see connections to the...
American Statistical Association
Exploring Geometric Probabilities with Buffon’s Coin Problem
Scholars create and perform experiments attempting to answer Buffon's Coin problem. They discover the relationships between geometry and probability, empirical and theoretical probabilities, and area of a circle and square.
Mathalicious
Three Shots
To foul or not to foul, that is the basketball question. High schoolers look at the probability that fouling out a player and allowing free throws yields a better outcome than allowing the original shot. The resource provides a...
TED-Ed
How Many Ways Can You Arrange a Deck of Cards?
Entertain and grab your learners' attention with a short video clip that engagingly teaches the concept of a permutation and how a factorial is a wonderful shortcut for theoretical probability calculations.
Math Worksheets Land
Probability of Chance Events - Independent Practice Worksheet
What are the chances of pulling out a green from a box of pencils? Now you can find out after sharpening your probability skill set with this resource. Practice different types of experimental probability and use the additional...
Curated OER
Logic and Problem Solving: Math Hunt
In these math lesson plans, pupils discuss how math problems are written to reflect real-world situations. They complete an online Math Hunt using specific web tools, and work individually to create their own Math Hunts....
Curated OER
Mathematical Modeling
Study various types of mathematical models in this math lesson. Learners calculate the slope to determine the risk in a situation described. They respond to a number of questions and analyze their statistical data. Then, they determine...
PHET
Plinko Probability
It's a good thing the resource dropped into your radar. Young mathematicians use an app that randomly drops balls through a Plinko game and into bins. They compare the distribution to that of an ideal binomial distribution.
American Institutes for Research
Data and Probability: Marshmallow Madness
Upper grade and middle schoolers make predictions, collect data, and interpret the data as it relates to the concept of probability. They work with a partner tossing marshmallows and recording if they land on their side or on their...
Curated OER
Data Analysis, Probability, and Discrete Math
Choose to supplement your probability unit with this resource and you won't be disappointed with the outcome. Teach young mathematicians to organize information using tree diagrams and lists in order to determine the possible outcomes of...
American Statistical Association
A Sweet Task
Candy is always an effective motivator! A fun math activity uses M&M's and Skittles to explore two-way frequency tables and conditional probability. The candy can serve a dual purpose as manipulatives and experimental data.
Achieve
False Positives
The test may say you have cancer, but sometimes the test is wrong. The provided task asks learners to analyze cancer statistics for a fictitious town. Given the rate of false positives, they interpret the meaning of this value in the...
CCSS Math Activities
Rolling for the Big One
Knowing math helps you win games. Learners apply conditional probability concepts in an engaging performance task. After playing a game in which players roll a 10-sided polyhedron and then try to place the digits to get the highest...
Shodor Education Foundation
Spinner
Go round and round to compare theoretical and experimental probabilities. Learners set the number of sectors and the number of spins for a spinner. Then, a table displays the experimental and theoretical probabilities of the spinner for...
Intel
What Does This Graph Tell You?
What can math say about natural phenomena? The fifth STEM lesson in this project-based learning series asks collaborative groups to choose a phenomenon of interest and design an experiment to simulate the phenomenon. After collecting...
Illustrative Mathematics
Fred's Fun Factory
Spin to win! Individuals calculate the average number of tickets expected based on a probability distribution for the number of tickets per spin. Pupils use that information to determine the average number of tickets that can be won...
Mathematics Vision Project
Module 5: Modeling with Geometry
Solids come in many shapes and sizes. Using geometry, scholars create two-dimensional cross-sections of various three-dimensional objects. They develop the lesson further by finding the volume of solids. The module then shifts...
Curated OER
Picking Chips: Experimental Probability
Students apply the concepts of an event occurring to playing a game. In this probability lesson,students differentiate between experimental and theoretical probability.
Curated OER
Simple Probability
Students explore simple probability. Each student spins a spinner and records the result as they enter the room. The recorded results are used to calculate experimental probabilities. After the teacher explains how to calculate...