EngageNY
Calculating Probabilities of Events Using Two-Way Tables
Tables are useful for more than just eating. Learners use tables to organize data and calculate probabilities and conditional probabilities.
EngageNY
Determining Discrete Probability Distributions 2
Investigate how long-run outcomes approach the calculated probability distribution. The 10th installment of a 21-part module continues work on probability distributions from the previous lesson. They pool class data to see how conducting...
EngageNY
The Difference Between Theoretical Probabilities and Estimated Probabilities
Flip a coin to determine whether the probability of heads is one-half. Pupils use simulated data to find the experimental probability of flipping a coin. Participants compare the long run relative frequency with the known theoretical...
EngageNY
Applying Probability to Make Informed Decisions
Use simulations to determine the probabilities of events to make decisions. Class members are presented with several scenarios, some with known probabilities and others without. Groups run simulations to gather data that they then use to...
EngageNY
Analyzing Decisions and Strategies Using Probability 1
Learn how to increase the probability of success. The 19th installment of a 21-part module teaches future mathematicians how to use probability to analyze decisions. They determine strategies to maximize the chances of a desired outcome.
Illustrative Mathematics
Tossing Cylinders
Everyone loves a lesson that involves throwing things around! To understand probability, your experimenters will predict how different cylinder-shaped objects will land when tossed. When the data is collected, they will calculate the...
EngageNY
Calculating Conditional Probabilities and Evaluating Independence Using Two-Way Tables (part 2)
Without data, all you are is another person with an opinion. Show learners the power of statistics and probability in making conclusions and predictions. Using two-way frequency tables, learners determine independence by analyzing...
EngageNY
Probability Distribution of a Discrete Random Variable
Learn how to analyze probability distributions. The sixth installment of a 21-part module teaches pupils to use probability distributions to determine the long-run behavior of a discrete random variable. They create graphs of probability...
EngageNY
Estimating Probability Distributions Empirically 1
What if you don't have theoretical probabilities with which to create probability distributions? The 11th installment of a 21-part module has scholars collecting data through a survey. The results of the survey provide empirical data to...
American Statistical Association
What is the Probability of “Pigging Out”
Learners apply their understanding of luck to a probability experiment. They play a game of Pass the Pigs to determine the probability of a specific outcome. Using analysis for their data, pupils declare the measures of center, dot...
American Statistical Association
Exploring Geometric Probabilities with Buffon’s Coin Problem
Scholars create and perform experiments attempting to answer Buffon's Coin problem. They discover the relationships between geometry and probability, empirical and theoretical probabilities, and area of a circle and square.
MENSA Education & Research Foundation
Probably Probability
Reinforce the concept of probability with a series of lessons highlighting the idea of likelihood, probability formulas, relative frequency, outcomes, and event predictions. The collection is made up of four lessons offering informative...
Mathematics Assessment Project
Representing Probabilities: Medical Testing
Test probability concepts with an activity that asks pupils to first complete a task investigating false positive in medical testing and then to evaluate sample responses to the same task.
University of Nottingham
Modeling Conditional Probabilities: 2
Bring the concept of conditional probability alive by allowing your classes to explore different probability scenarios. Many tasks have multiple solutions that encourage students to continue exploring their problems even after a solution...
EngageNY
Probability Rules (part 2)
Ensure your pupils are rule followers! Learners add the addition rule to the set of probability rules examined in the previous lesson plan. Problems require both the multiplication and addition rule.
EngageNY
Conducting a Simulation to Estimate the Probability of an Event II
Add some randomization into simulations. The 11th installment in a series of 25 presents two new methods to use in simulations--colored disks, and random numbers. Pupils use random numbers to run simulations where the probabilities make...
EngageNY
Using Permutations and Combinations to Compute Probabilities
Now that we know about permutations and combinations, we can finally solve probability problems. The fourth installment of a 21-part module has future mathematicians analyzing word problems to determine whether permutations or...
National Council of Teachers of Mathematics
The Game of SKUNK
Do I stand or do I sit? The class plays a dice game where they must decide to either continue to stand and play or sit down and keep their points. After the game, groups discuss individuals' strategies and see connections to the...
Curated OER
The Random Walk
Deep mathematical thinking is found with just a coin and a number line. Combining computing some probabilities in a discrete situation, and the interpretation of a function, this simple task gives learners a lot to think about on their...
Curated OER
Concept: Dice Probabilities
In this probability worksheet, young scholars roll dice to determine the experimental probability of rolling each number on a die. The experiment is repeated using a dice rolling application on their computer. Students find the...
Curated OER
How Probable is It?
Young scholars explore probability. In this probability lesson, students look at videos and websites where they discover probability facts that can be used in situations. They determine the probability of different events.
Curated OER
Probability Using M&M's
Students estimate and then count the number of each color of M&M's in their bag. In this mathematics lesson, students find the experimental probability of selecting each color from the bag. Students create pictographs and bar graphs...
Curated OER
High or Low- Probability
Students use playing cards to examine probability. In this probability lesson plan, students work in groups with a deck of cards and predict if the next card they lay down will be high or low. Students fill out a graphic organizer with...
Curated OER
Probability
Second graders experiment with probability. In this probability lesson, 2nd graders pick colored beans from a bag to find the chance of getting different colors. They make fair and unfair spinners and record the data after spinning them.
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